Value bet: Finn Harps to win @ 2.52 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFinn Harps to win ✗46% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.96
Athlone Town vs Finn Harps preview and prediction
The match
Finn Harps travel to Lissywoollen in the First Division on Friday 13 February (20:45 WAT) to face Athlone Town. Athlone Town are 7th with 48 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Finn Harps sit 10th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Athlone Town and 1.5 for Finn Harps. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athlone Town 32%, draw 22%, Finn Harps 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Finn Harps to win at 2.52 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Athlone Town 1–1 Finn Harps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athlone Town32%fair 3.09 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Finn Harps46%fair 2.19 · @2.52
2.70Expected goals
1.21Athlone Town xG
1.50Finn Harps xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Athlone Town 1.2 – 1.5 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Finn Harps to win✗
46%
2.19
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Finn Harps / FT Finn Harps✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.96
–
Form
Athlone Town
No recent results on record.
Finn Harps
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athlone Town and Finn Harps.
What is the prediction for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Athlone Town have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Finn Harps 46%.
How many goals will there be in Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Athlone Town 1–1 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
Athlone Town vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lissywoollen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1