Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Sligo Rovers take on Derry City on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Showgrounds. Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sligo Rovers's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Derry City's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dundalk 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Derry City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Across their last 2 meetings Sligo Rovers have won 0, Derry City 1, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Sligo Rovers and 1.9 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sligo Rovers 14%, draw 20%, Derry City 66%.
Safer route: Derry City or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Derry City to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sligo Rovers14%fair 7.27 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Derry City66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
2.61Expected goals
0.71Sligo Rovers xG
1.90Derry City xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.7 – 1.9 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Derry City to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Derry City 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
