Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.98
Shelbourne vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
Waterford travel to Tolka Park in the Premier Division on Friday 30 October (20:45 WAT) to face Shelbourne. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Bohemians 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Waterford's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Drogheda United 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne. Across their last 2 meetings Shelbourne have won 1, Waterford 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Shelbourne and 1.0 for Waterford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Shelbourne to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @3.60
Waterford22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
2.96Expected goals
1.93Shelbourne xG
1.03Waterford xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 1.0 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our pick is Shelbourne to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Waterford 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Shelbourne vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
