Waterford vs Drogheda United prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Waterford to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaterford to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Waterford vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Waterford host Drogheda United in the Premier Division on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Regional Sports Centre. Waterford are 7th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waterford's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Galway United 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Drogheda United's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Derry City 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Drogheda United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford. Across their last 3 meetings Waterford have won 1, Drogheda United 1, with 1 draw and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Waterford and 1.1 for Drogheda United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Waterford 58%, draw 20%, Drogheda United 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waterford to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Drogheda United21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
2.96Expected goals
1.91Waterford xG
1.05Drogheda United xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.9 – 1.1 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Waterford to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Waterford have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Drogheda United 21%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Waterford vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
