Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Derry City vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Derry City host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundalk's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Sligo Rovers 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Derry City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Derry City 4–2 Dundalk. Across their last 4 meetings Derry City have won 1, Dundalk 1, with 2 draws and 4.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 4 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Derry City and 1.1 for Dundalk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 57%, draw 21%, Dundalk 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
Dundalk22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
2.90Expected goals
1.85Derry City xG
1.05Dundalk xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.8 – 1.1 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Derry City vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Derry City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundalk 22%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Dundalk?
Derry City vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
