Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✓43% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.29
Shelbourne vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Shelbourne host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday 3 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tolka Park. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Sligo Rovers 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dundalk's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Waterford 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dundalk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne. Across their last 2 meetings Shelbourne have won 1, Dundalk 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Shelbourne and 1.4 for Dundalk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne43%fair 2.34 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Dundalk35%fair 2.85 · @2.98
2.99Expected goals
1.58Shelbourne xG
1.41Dundalk xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.6 – 1.4 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundalk 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
Shelbourne vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
