Waterford travel to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in the Premier Division on Friday 3 July (19:45 WAT) to face Derry City. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Drogheda United 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Waterford's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Dundalk 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Derry City 4–2 Waterford.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Derry City and 0.8 for Waterford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 65%, draw 22%, Waterford 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Derry City 2–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City65%fair 1.54 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.33
Waterford13%fair 7.66 · @7.10
2.87Expected goals
2.05Derry City xG
0.82Waterford xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Derry City 2.1 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?
On our numbers Derry City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Waterford 13%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Derry City 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
