Sligo Rovers travel to Tolka Park in the Premier Division on Friday 8 May (19:45 WAT) to face Shelbourne. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Sligo Rovers sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Bohemians 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Sligo Rovers's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Shelbourne and 0.7 for Sligo Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Shelbourne 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne68%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.10
Sligo Rovers14%fair 7.02 · @6.40
2.70Expected goals
1.97Shelbourne xG
0.73Sligo Rovers xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 2.0 – 0.7 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
68%
1.48
1.50
Double chance
Shelbourne or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Shelbourne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Shelbourne – last 6
DWLLLL
4 May
@ Bohemians
2–2
D
1 May
@ Dundalk
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Drogheda United
3–4
L
17 Apr
vs Derry City
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Shamrock Rovers
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Dundalk
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers – last 6
DLWDLL
4 May
vs St Patrick's Athl.
1–1
D
1 May
@ Drogheda United
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Bohemians
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Derry City
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
16 Mar
@ Dundalk
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sligo Rovers 14%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 2–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
