Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.20
Drogheda United vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
Derry City travel to Weavers Park in the Premier Division on Friday 8 May (19:45 WAT) to face Drogheda United. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Derry City's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Galway United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Derry City 2–2 Drogheda United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Drogheda United and 1.5 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 32%, draw 22%, Derry City 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United32%fair 3.16 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Derry City46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
2.59Expected goals
1.14Drogheda United xG
1.45Derry City xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.1 – 1.5 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Derry City?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derry City 46%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Drogheda United vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
