Shelbourne vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Shelbourne host Drogheda United in the Premier Division on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Tolka Park. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Derry City 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Drogheda United's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Drogheda United 1–2 Shelbourne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Shelbourne and 0.9 for Drogheda United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shelbourne 60%, draw 19%, Drogheda United 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–0 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne60%fair 1.66 · @1.72
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.50
Drogheda United20%fair 4.96 · @5.00
2.64Expected goals
1.77Shelbourne xG
0.87Drogheda United xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.8 – 0.9 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Drogheda United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?
Shelbourne vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
