Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 2.28 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win47% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.35
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Derry City host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Shamrock Rovers sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Shelbourne 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Bohemians 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Derry City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Derry City and 1.4 for Shamrock Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 31%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 2.28 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City31%fair 3.22 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Shamrock Rovers47%fair 2.15 · @2.28
2.45Expected goals
1.06Derry City xG
1.39Shamrock Rovers xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.1 – 1.4 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Derry City have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shamrock Rovers 47%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
