Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Derry City to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Sligo Rovers take on Derry City on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Showgrounds. Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sligo Rovers's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Derry City's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Galway United 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Derry City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Sligo Rovers and 1.7 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sligo Rovers 16%, draw 24%, Derry City 60%.
Safer route: Derry City or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Derry City to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Derry City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sligo Rovers16%fair 6.12 · @4.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.45
Derry City60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
2.53Expected goals
0.79Sligo Rovers xG
1.74Derry City xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.8 – 1.7 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
60%
1.67
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Derry City or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Derry City ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Sligo Rovers – last 5
LLLLD
3 Apr
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
16 Mar
@ Dundalk
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Waterford
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Derry City – last 6
LDDLLW
3 Apr
@ Galway United
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Drogheda United
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sligo Rovers and Derry City.
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Derry City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Derry City 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
