Value bet: Dundalk to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗44% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
Dundalk host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Oriel Park. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Shelbourne 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 4–0 Dundalk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Dundalk and 1.5 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 34%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Dundalk to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.44%fair 2.28 · @2.22
2.70Expected goals
1.24Dundalk xG
1.46St Patrick's Athl. xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.2 – 1.5 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 44%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
