Galway United vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
Derry City travel to Eamonn Deacy Park in the Premier Division on Friday 3 April (20:00 WAT) to face Galway United. Galway United are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Galway United's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Derry City's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Drogheda United 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Galway United and 1.4 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Galway United 33%, draw 22%, Derry City 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Galway United 1–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Galway United33%fair 3.05 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Derry City45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
2.56Expected goals
1.15Galway United xG
1.41Derry City xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.1 – 1.4 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
Galway United – last 6
LWLDLW
20 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Waterford
4–3
W
13 Mar
@ Bohemians
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Derry City – last 6
DDLLWL
20 Mar
vs Drogheda United
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galway United and Derry City.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Galway United vs Derry City?
On our numbers Galway United have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derry City 45%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Derry City?
Galway United vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
