St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
St Patrick's Athl. host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Richmond Park. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Shamrock Rovers 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.7 for Dundalk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 60%, draw 20%, Dundalk 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.55
Dundalk20%fair 4.97 · @5.00
2.23Expected goals
1.53St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.71Dundalk xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 – 0.7 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
St Patrick's Athl. – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 3
DDD
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dundalk 20%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
