Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Derry City vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Derry City take on Waterford on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Derry City and 0.6 for Waterford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 68%, draw 20%, Waterford 12%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Derry City 1–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City68%fair 1.46 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.10
Waterford12%fair 8.41 · @7.00
2.37Expected goals
1.80Derry City xG
0.57Waterford xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.8 – 0.6 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✓
68%
1.46
1.46
Double chance
Derry City or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Half-time result
Derry City ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
Derry City – last 2
LD
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Waterford – last 2
DL
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?
On our numbers Derry City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waterford 12%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
