Drogheda United vs Waterford prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrogheda United to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Drogheda United vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
Waterford travel to Weavers Park in the Premier Division on Friday 13 February (21:00 WAT) to face Drogheda United. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Drogheda United and 0.8 for Waterford. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 48%, draw 22%, Waterford 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Waterford to win at 3.80 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Waterford30%fair 3.36 · @3.80
2.03Expected goals
1.19Drogheda United xG
0.84Waterford xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.2 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Drogheda United to win✓
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Drogheda United / FT Drogheda United✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Drogheda United
No recent results on record.
Waterford
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Waterford?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Waterford 30%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Drogheda United vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
