Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓68% · @1.35
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Cruz Azul vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Cruz Azul take on Necaxa on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 02:05 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca. Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Club Queretaro 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Necaxa's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Necaxa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Cruz Azul and 0.9 for Necaxa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruz Azul 68%, draw 16%, Necaxa 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruz Azul to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–0 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.00
Necaxa16%fair 6.38 · @7.90
3.04Expected goals
2.16Cruz Azul xG
0.89Necaxa xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 0.9 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
Cruz Azul – last 6
DDDDLL
22 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Club Tijuana
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Club America
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 6
DDLWWD
23 Apr
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–3
L
4 Apr
vs Mazatlán
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Necaxa.
Our pick is Cruz Azul to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Necaxa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
Cruz Azul vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
