Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Santos Laguna vs Monterrey preview and prediction
The match
Santos Laguna host Monterrey in the Liga MX on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio TSM Corona. Santos Laguna are 6th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Monterrey sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Santos Laguna's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Atletico San Luis 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Monterrey's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Puebla 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Santos Laguna and 2.1 for Monterrey. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Monterrey to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santos Laguna 1–2 Monterrey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos Laguna21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @3.85
Monterrey63%fair 1.60 · @1.90
3.20Expected goals
1.09Santos Laguna xG
2.11Monterrey xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.1 – 2.1 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey to win✗
63%
1.60
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Half-time result
Monterrey ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey / FT Monterrey✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Santos Laguna – last 6
LLLDWL
23 Apr
@ Atletico San Luis
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Atlas
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Pachuca
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs Club America
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monterrey – last 6
WLDLLD
22 Apr
vs Puebla
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Atlas
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Atletico San Luis
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Monterrey.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
Our pick is Monterrey to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monterrey 63%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–2 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
Santos Laguna vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
