Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca to win ✗46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas travel to Estadio Miguel Hidalgo in the Liga MX on Sunday 26 April (00:00 WAT) to face Pachuca. Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pachuca's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Club Tijuana 1–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat FC Juarez 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Pachuca and 1.3 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 3.35 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pachuca 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca46%fair 2.17 · @2.02
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
U.N.A.M. - Pumas34%fair 2.98 · @3.35
2.89Expected goals
1.59Pachuca xG
1.30U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Pachuca 1.6 – 1.3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✗
46%
2.17
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Form
Pachuca – last 6
LWWWDD
23 Apr
@ Club Tijuana
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Monterrey
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santos Laguna
4–2
W
5 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Toluca
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
WWDWDW
22 Apr
vs FC Juarez
4–2
W
18 Apr
@ Atletico San Luis
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Guadalajara Chivas
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Club America
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Necaxa
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Pachuca have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Pachuca 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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