Leon host Club America in the Liga MX on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 04:06 (WAT) at Estadio Leon. Leon are 7th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Club America sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Leon's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat FC Juarez 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Club America's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Toluca 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Leon and 1.5 for Club America. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leon 31%, draw 22%, Club America 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Leon 1–1 Club America. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leon31%fair 3.21 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Club America47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
2.62Expected goals
1.14Leon xG
1.48Club America xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Leon 1.1 – 1.5 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✓
47%
2.12
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Leon – last 6
WWWWLL
19 Apr
vs FC Juarez
3–1
W
11 Apr
@ Puebla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Atlas
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Club America – last 6
WLDDDL
19 Apr
vs Toluca
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nashville SC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Santos Laguna
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Club America.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Leon vs Club America?
On our numbers Leon have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club America 47%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Club America?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Club America?
Leon vs Club America (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
