Santos Laguna host Puebla in the Liga MX on Monday 23 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio TSM Corona. Santos Laguna are 6th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Puebla sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Santos Laguna's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Guadalajara Chivas 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Puebla's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Necaxa 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Puebla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Santos Laguna and 1.5 for Puebla. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Santos Laguna 1–1 Puebla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos Laguna39%fair 2.57 · @2.46
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Puebla38%fair 2.60 · @2.64
2.96Expected goals
1.48Santos Laguna xG
1.48Puebla xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.5 – 1.5 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos Laguna to win✓
39%
2.57
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos Laguna / FT Santos Laguna✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.87
–
Form
Santos Laguna – last 6
LWLDLL
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Leon
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
DLWWLL
14 Mar
vs Necaxa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Club America
0–4
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Puebla.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puebla 38%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
Santos Laguna vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
