Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atlas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceAtlas or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Atlas vs Club Queretaro preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Atlas take on Club Queretaro on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Club Queretaro sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlas's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Toluca 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Club Queretaro's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Tigres UANL 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Atlas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Atlas and 0.9 for Club Queretaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas 59%, draw 21%, Club Queretaro 20%.
Safer route: Atlas or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Atlas to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlas or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atlas 1–0 Club Queretaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.45
Club Queretaro20%fair 5.10 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.82Atlas xG
0.93Club Queretaro xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.8 – 0.9 Club Queretaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✗
59%
1.70
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Atlas or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Atlas ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Atlas – last 6
DLWLWL
15 Mar
@ Toluca
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ FC Juarez
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Club Queretaro – last 5
DLLDL
16 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Club America
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Monterrey
0–4
L
28 Feb
vs Santos Laguna
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Atletico San Luis
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Club Queretaro.
What is the prediction for Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
Our pick is Atlas or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
On our numbers Atlas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Queretaro 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–0 Club Queretaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
Atlas vs Club Queretaro (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.