Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Mazatlán take on Cruz Azul on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 04:06 (WAT) at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Form guide
Mazatlán's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Club America 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cruz Azul's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Monterrey 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Mazatlán and 2.1 for Cruz Azul. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Cruz Azul to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Mazatlán 0–2 Cruz Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mazatlán17%fair 5.93 · @5.10
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.20
Cruz Azul65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
3.04Expected goals
0.94Mazatlán xG
2.09Cruz Azul xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mazatlán 0.9 – 2.1 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Mazatlán – last 6
LWLWDW
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 6
DDWWWW
18 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Atletico San Luis
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Monterrey
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazatlán and Cruz Azul.
Our pick is Cruz Azul to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Mazatlán have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cruz Azul 65%.
How many goals will there be in Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Mazatlán 0–2 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
