Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 3.05 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗40% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Necaxa take on Club Tijuana on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa are 17th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Club Tijuana sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Necaxa's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Puebla 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Club Tijuana's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Leon 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Necaxa and 1.5 for Club Tijuana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa 38%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Club Tijuana to win at 3.05 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Necaxa 1–1 Club Tijuana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa38%fair 2.66 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
Club Tijuana40%fair 2.51 · @3.05
2.89Expected goals
1.42Necaxa xG
1.47Club Tijuana xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.4 – 1.5 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Tijuana to win✗
40%
2.51
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Necaxa – last 6
DLLLLW
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ FC Juarez
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 6
WLLDDL
15 Mar
@ Leon
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Atlas
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Toluca
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and Club Tijuana.
What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Tijuana 40%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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