Necaxa host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa are 17th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Necaxa's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Pachuca 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Toluca 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Necaxa and 1.5 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Necaxa 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
U.N.A.M. - Pumas41%fair 2.42 · @2.26
2.93Expected goals
1.41Necaxa xG
1.52U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.4 – 1.5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
41%
2.42
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Necaxa – last 4
LLLW
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ FC Juarez
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 4
LDWW
4 Mar
vs Toluca
2–3
L
28 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Puebla
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 41%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán4
Leon2