Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas to win ✓41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.82
Atlas vs Club Tijuana preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Atlas take on Club Tijuana on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Club Tijuana sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atlas's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to FC Juarez 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Club Tijuana's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Atlas and 1.4 for Club Tijuana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas 41%, draw 26%, Club Tijuana 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Club Tijuana to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atlas 1–1 Club Tijuana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas41%fair 2.46 · @2.08
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Club Tijuana34%fair 2.95 · @3.40
2.92Expected goals
1.47Atlas xG
1.45Club Tijuana xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.4 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Atlas
Club Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average
+3%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.57
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✓
41%
2.46
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.82
–
Form
Atlas – last 3
LWL
28 Feb
@ FC Juarez
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 3
DDL
28 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Toluca
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Club Tijuana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Atlas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Tijuana 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
Atlas vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
