The Liga MX sees Puebla take on Tigres UANL on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Puebla are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tigres UANL sit 15th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Puebla's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Atletico San Luis 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Tigres UANL's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Club America 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Puebla and 1.4 for Tigres UANL. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Puebla 1–1 Tigres UANL. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla29%fair 3.43 · @3.55
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.60
Tigres UANL47%fair 2.14 · @1.97
2.71Expected goals
1.27Puebla xG
1.44Tigres UANL xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.3 – 1.4 Tigres UANL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Attack vs Liga MX average
-20%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.20
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✗
47%
2.14
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Puebla – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Club America
0–4
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
@ Club America
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and Tigres UANL.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Puebla vs Tigres UANL?
On our numbers Puebla have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tigres UANL 47%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Tigres UANL?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Tigres UANL?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 Tigres UANL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Tigres UANL?
Puebla vs Tigres UANL (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
