Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub America to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Puebla vs Club America preview and prediction
The match
Puebla host Club America in the Liga MX on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 04:06 (WAT) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Puebla are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Club America sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Puebla and 1.8 for Club America. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puebla 19%, draw 19%, Club America 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Puebla 0–1 Club America. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla19%fair 5.14 · @4.60
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.50
Club America61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.64Expected goals
0.86Puebla xG
1.78Club America xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Puebla 0.9 – 1.8 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.24
Half-time result
Club America ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Puebla – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Club America – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and Club America.
What is the prediction for Puebla vs Club America?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Puebla vs Club America?
On our numbers Puebla have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club America 61%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Club America?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Puebla 0–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Club America?
Puebla vs Club America (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
