Pachuca travel to Estadio Universitario (UANL) in the Liga MX on Saturday 21 February (02:00 WAT) to face Tigres UANL. Tigres UANL are 15th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Pachuca sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Tigres UANL and 0.9 for Pachuca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tigres UANL 2–0 Pachuca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres UANL62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.40
Pachuca18%fair 5.69 · @5.50
2.78Expected goals
1.90Tigres UANL xG
0.88Pachuca xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.9 – 0.9 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Tigres UANL ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Tigres UANL – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlas
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Pachuca.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pachuca 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 2–0 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
