The Liga MX sees Toluca take on Club Tijuana on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 04:05 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Club Tijuana sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Toluca and 0.8 for Club Tijuana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca 71%, draw 19%, Club Tijuana 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @5.50
Club Tijuana10%fair 9.60 · @12.00
3.14Expected goals
2.33Toluca xG
0.81Club Tijuana xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toluca 2.3 – 0.8 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca to win✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Double chance
Toluca or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Half-time result
Toluca ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca / FT Toluca✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Form
Toluca
No recent results on record.
Club Tijuana
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca and Club Tijuana.
What is the prediction for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Toluca to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Toluca have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club Tijuana 10%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Toluca vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
