Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 2.56 – our chance 47% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✓47% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.00
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
Puebla host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Puebla are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Puebla and 1.6 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 2.56 – 47% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Puebla 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla30%fair 3.30 · @2.74
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
U.N.A.M. - Pumas47%fair 2.11 · @2.56
2.75Expected goals
1.19Puebla xG
1.56U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.2 – 1.6 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
47%
2.11
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
Puebla
No recent results on record.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Puebla have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
