Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Flamengo to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.22
7/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win72% · @1.22
Double chanceFlamengo or draw88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.60
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Paranaense travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the Serie A on Thursday 19 November (00:30 WAT) to face Flamengo. Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Atletico Paranaense sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Gremio 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Paranaense's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Flamengo and 0.8 for Atletico Paranaense. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Our prediction: Flamengo to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Paranaense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo72%fair 1.39 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.50
Atletico Paranaense12%fair 8.42 · @11.00
3.28Expected goals
2.43Flamengo xG
0.85Atletico Paranaense xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.4 – 0.8 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Attack vs Serie A average
+55%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.69
0.91
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Atletico Paranaense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
