Cruzeiro host Palmeiras in the Serie A on Thursday 19 November, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Mineirão. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Palmeiras sit 2nd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Bahia 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruzeiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Cruzeiro and 1.6 for Palmeiras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro28%fair 3.51 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
Palmeiras48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
2.81Expected goals
1.18Cruzeiro xG
1.62Palmeiras xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.2 – 1.6 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Attack vs Serie A average
+36%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-43%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.62
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palmeiras 48%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Mineirão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
