Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.00
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Vasco DA Gama take on Flamengo on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at São Januário. Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Flamengo sit 1st on 76 points (top of the table). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Corinthians 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Flamengo's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Atletico-MG 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.8 for Flamengo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 23%, draw 19%, Flamengo 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flamengo to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.70
Flamengo58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
2.78Expected goals
0.99Vasco DA Gama xG
1.79Flamengo xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.0 – 1.8 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.00
–
Form
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
WLLWDW
24 Oct
vs Corinthians
3–2
W
21 Oct
vs Boca Juniors
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Remo
0–0
D
8 Oct
@ Botafogo
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Flamengo – last 6
WDWDWD
27 Oct
vs Atletico-MG
3–2
W
23 Oct
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Bahia
3–0
W
16 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Fluminense
1–0
W
8 Oct
@ Santos
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flamengo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at São Januário.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
