Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGremio to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Paranaense travel to Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A on Friday 30 October (01:30 WAT) to face Gremio. Gremio are 18th with 37 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Paranaense sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gremio's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Coritiba 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atletico Paranaense's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Vitoria 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Atletico Paranaense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Gremio and 1.2 for Atletico Paranaense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Gremio 1–1 Atletico Paranaense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gremio43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense34%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.61Expected goals
1.40Gremio xG
1.21Atletico Paranaense xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.4 – 1.2 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Gremio have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Paranaense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
