Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fluminense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Fluminense vs Internacional preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Fluminense take on Internacional on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã. Fluminense are 4th with 57 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Internacional sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Chapecoense-sc 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Internacional's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Botafogo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Internacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Fluminense and 0.8 for Internacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fluminense 65%, draw 20%, Internacional 16%.
Safer route: Fluminense or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Fluminense to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fluminense or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–0 Internacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.30
Internacional16%fair 6.38 · @3.90
2.61Expected goals
1.85Fluminense xG
0.76Internacional xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.9 – 0.8 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
65%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Fluminense ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Fluminense – last 6
LWLLLW
24 Oct
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
22 Oct
@ Palmeiras
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Santos
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Flamengo
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Coritiba
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Internacional – last 6
WLDWLW
24 Oct
vs Botafogo
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Gremio
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Corinthians
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Chapecoense-sc
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Internacional.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Internacional?
Our pick is Fluminense or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fluminense vs Internacional?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Internacional 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Internacional?
Fluminense vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
