Serie A · Brazil · Estádio do MaracanãFluminense vs Coritiba prediction & analysis
Fluminense to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fluminense 2.2 – 0.7 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fluminense are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 9% for Coritiba.
Fluminense have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Coritiba have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.2 for Fluminense, 0.7 for Coritiba). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Fluminense have won 0, Coritiba have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Fluminense to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fluminense to win ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Fluminense or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | Fluminense ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.43 | – |
Form
Fluminense – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Corinthians | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Platense | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Atletico-MG | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Platense | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Vasco DA Gama | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Atletico Paranaense | 3–3 | D |
Coritiba – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Vasco DA Gama | 0–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Atletico Paranaense | 3–3 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Mirassol | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Remo | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Sao Paulo | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 2026 | Coritiba v Fluminense | 1–1 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Coritiba?
Our pick is Fluminense to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fluminense vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coritiba 9%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Fluminense vs Coritiba?
Fluminense vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.