Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMirassol to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Mirassol vs Botafogo preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo travel to José Maria de Campos Maia in the Serie A on Saturday 19 September (21:00 WAT) to face Mirassol. Mirassol are 14th with 40 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Botafogo sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mirassol's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Vitoria 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Botafogo's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Gremio 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished Botafogo 3–2 Mirassol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Mirassol and 1.4 for Botafogo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Value angle: Botafogo to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mirassol 1–1 Botafogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Botafogo35%fair 2.88 · @3.30
2.91Expected goals
1.55Mirassol xG
1.36Botafogo xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.6 – 1.4 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mirassol vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Botafogo?
Mirassol vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at José Maria de Campos Maia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
