Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Santos vs Cruzeiro preview and prediction
The match
Santos host Cruzeiro in the Serie A on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. Santos are 9th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Cruzeiro sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Santos's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Atletico-MG 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruzeiro's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Atletico Paranaense 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Santos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Santos and 1.5 for Cruzeiro. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santos 36%, draw 24%, Cruzeiro 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Santos 1–1 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos36%fair 2.74 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Cruzeiro40%fair 2.53 · @2.40
2.94Expected goals
1.44Santos xG
1.50Cruzeiro xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santos 1.4 – 1.5 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
40%
2.53
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Form
Santos – last 6
WWDWLD
9 Sep
vs Atletico-MG
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Internacional
3–2
W
3 Sep
vs Palmeiras
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Palmeiras
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cruzeiro – last 6
WLLDWL
6 Sep
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–1
W
2 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–3
L
26 Aug
vs Atletico-MG
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Flamengo
2–1
W
20 Aug
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Cruzeiro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Santos vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Santos have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cruzeiro 40%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Cruzeiro?
Santos vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
