Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMirassol to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Mirassol vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Mirassol take on Vitoria on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Mirassol are 14th with 40 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Vitoria sit 15th on 38 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mirassol's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Coritiba 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Vitoria's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Gremio 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Mirassol and 0.9 for Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mirassol 59%, draw 20%, Vitoria 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mirassol to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Mirassol 1–0 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.50
Vitoria21%fair 4.67 · @4.50
2.52Expected goals
1.66Mirassol xG
0.86Vitoria xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.7 – 0.9 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Mirassol – last 6
WLDDDL
6 Sep
@ Coritiba
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Palmeiras
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Santos
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Flamengo
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
WLLLLW
8 Sep
vs Gremio
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
27 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Bahia
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Vitoria.
Our pick is Mirassol to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Mirassol vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vitoria 21%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Vitoria?
Mirassol vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
