Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sao Paulo to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Internacional vs Sao Paulo preview and prediction
The match
Sao Paulo travel to Estádio Beira-Rio in the Serie A on Wednesday 1 April (23:30 WAT) to face Internacional. Internacional are 16th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Sao Paulo sit 10th on 44 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Internacional's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Santos 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sao Paulo's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Internacional and 1.0 for Sao Paulo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional 40%, draw 25%, Sao Paulo 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Sao Paulo to win at 3.45 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.05
Sao Paulo35%fair 2.88 · @3.45
2.18Expected goals
1.14Internacional xG
1.04Sao Paulo xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.1 – 1.0 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Internacional – last 6
WLLDWL
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sao Paulo – last 6
LLWWLW
22 Mar
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ RB Bragantino
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Coritiba
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Sao Paulo.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Internacional have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sao Paulo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
Internacional vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
