Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGremio to win ✗41% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Gremio vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
RB Bragantino travel to Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A on Friday 13 March (01:30 WAT) to face Gremio. Gremio are 18th with 37 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Gremio and 1.3 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: RB Bragantino to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gremio41%fair 2.45 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
RB Bragantino35%fair 2.83 · @3.25
2.68Expected goals
1.40Gremio xG
1.28RB Bragantino xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.4 – 1.3 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio to win✗
41%
2.45
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gremio / FT Gremio✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
Gremio – last 2
WD
26 Feb
vs Atletico-MG
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Juventude
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 2
DW
25 Feb
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Novorizontino
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Gremio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and RB Bragantino 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
Gremio vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
