Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗37% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre preview and prediction
The match
Tigre travel to Estadio Eva Perón in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 25 April (23:15 WAT) to face Sarmiento Junin. Sarmiento Junin are 19th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Tigre sit 20th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tigre's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Huracan 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sarmiento Junin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.0 for Tigre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sarmiento Junin to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Tigre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin35%fair 2.83 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.78
Tigre37%fair 2.67 · @2.48
2.02Expected goals
0.99Sarmiento Junin xG
1.03Tigre xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.0 – 1.0 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
37%
2.67
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.31
–
Form
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
LLWWLD
20 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ River Plate
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tigre – last 6
DLDLLD
21 Apr
vs Huracan
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Macara
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Banfield
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Tigre.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tigre 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Platense0
San Lorenzo1
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba