Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓68% · @1.26
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · @1.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.61
River Plate vs Aldosivi preview and prediction
The match
River Plate host Aldosivi in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Mâs Monumental. River Plate are 7th with 55 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Aldosivi sit 29th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
River Plate's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Carabobo FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aldosivi's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
River Plate arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for River Plate and 0.4 for Aldosivi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: River Plate 68%, draw 23%, Aldosivi 9%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: River Plate 1–0 Aldosivi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
River Plate68%fair 1.48 · @1.26
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.45
Aldosivi9%fair 10.63 · @18.00
1.99Expected goals
1.59River Plate xG
0.40Aldosivi xG
40%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.6 – 0.4 Aldosivi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
68%
1.48
1.26
Double chance
River Plate or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.61
–
Form
River Plate – last 6
WWDWWD
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Huracan
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Aldosivi – last 6
LLDDLL
11 Apr
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Huracan
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Banfield
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Union Santa Fe
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Aldosivi.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Aldosivi?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win River Plate vs Aldosivi?
On our numbers River Plate have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aldosivi 9%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Aldosivi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Aldosivi?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Aldosivi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Aldosivi?
River Plate vs Aldosivi (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mâs Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba