Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M. prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Independ. Rivadavia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win64% · @1.80
Double chanceIndepend. Rivadavia or draw86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.54
Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M. preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Independ. Rivadavia take on Gimnasia M. on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini. Independ. Rivadavia are 4th with 57 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Gimnasia M. sit 17th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Banfield 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia M.'s last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Lanus 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Independ. Rivadavia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Independ. Rivadavia and 0.6 for Gimnasia M.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independ. Rivadavia 64%, draw 22%, Gimnasia M. 14%.
Safer route: Independ. Rivadavia or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independ. Rivadavia to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Gimnasia M.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independ. Rivadavia64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.15
Gimnasia M.14%fair 7.19 · @5.00
2.20Expected goals
1.63Independ. Rivadavia xG
0.57Gimnasia M. xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.6 – 0.6 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Independ. Rivadavia or draw
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.54
–
Form
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
DWWWWW
20 Apr
@ Banfield
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Fluminense
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tigre
2–0
W
23 Mar
vs Rosario Central
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnasia M. – last 6
WWLDDL
21 Apr
vs Lanus
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Velez Sarsfield
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and Gimnasia M..
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Independ. Rivadavia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gimnasia M. 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
River Plate3
Aldosivi1
Belgrano Cordoba
Gimnasia L.P.