Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente prediction & analysis
70%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente to win @ 2.26 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente to win50% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–118% · fair 5.68
Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Deportivo Riestra take on Independiente on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Laza. Deportivo Riestra are 28th with 23 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Independiente sit 13th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Talleres Cordoba 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Independiente's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Defensa Y Justicia 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Independiente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.7 for Deportivo Riestra and 1.2 for Independiente. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Independiente to win at 2.26 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Independiente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Riestra25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.84
Independiente50%fair 2.01 · @2.26
1.91Expected goals
0.72Deportivo Riestra xG
1.19Independiente xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.7 – 1.2 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente to win
50%
2.01
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.09
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente / FT Independiente
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
18%
5.68
–
Form
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
LLDDLD
20 Apr
@ Talleres Cordoba
0–2
L
14 Apr
@ Gremio
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Palestino
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs San Lorenzo
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente – last 6
WDWLLD
18 Apr
vs Defensa Y Justicia
3–1
W
11 Apr
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Atenas
4–2
W
22 Mar
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
17 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Union Santa Fe
4–4
D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Independiente.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente 50%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?
Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1
Rosario Central2