Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Defensa Y Justicia to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓47% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Defensa Y Justicia host Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello. Defensa Y Justicia are 14th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Boca Juniors sit 1st on 63 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Defensa Y Justicia's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Independiente 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Boca Juniors's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boca Juniors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1.2 for Boca Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensa Y Justicia 30%, draw 23%, Boca Juniors 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Defensa Y Justicia to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 Boca Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensa Y Justicia30%fair 3.33 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Boca Juniors47%fair 2.15 · @2.12
2.11Expected goals
0.90Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.22Boca Juniors xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 0.9 – 1.2 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
47%
2.15
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
LLLWWD
18 Apr
@ Independiente
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ San Lorenzo
5–2
W
12 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
WDWWWD
15 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Independiente
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ U. Catolica
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–0
W
23 Mar
vs Instituto Cordoba
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boca Juniors 47%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1
Rosario Central2