Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win ✓69% · @1.50
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓92% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Rosario Central take on Sarmiento Junin on Monday 20 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Rosario Central are 2nd with 62 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Sarmiento Junin sit 19th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rosario Central's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for Rosario Central and 0.4 for Sarmiento Junin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rosario Central 69%, draw 23%, Sarmiento Junin 8%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Rosario Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosario Central69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Sarmiento Junin8%fair 12.85 · @7.60
2.20Expected goals
1.76Rosario Central xG
0.44Sarmiento Junin xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rosario Central 1.8 – 0.4 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Rosario Central or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Rosario Central ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
Rosario Central – last 6
WDWLWD
15 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Independiente del Valle
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Banfield
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
LWWLDW
13 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ River Plate
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosario Central and Sarmiento Junin.
What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Rosario Central have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarmiento Junin 8%.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Rosario Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin?
Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Talleres Cordoba2
Deportivo Riestra0
Central Cordoba de Santiago4
Platense3
San Lorenzo0
Velez Sarsfield0