Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: River Plate to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Racing Club vs River Plate preview and prediction
The match
Racing Club host River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Presidente Perón. Racing Club are 23rd with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while River Plate sit 7th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Racing Club's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Independiente Petrolero 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
River Plate's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Blooming 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Racing Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Racing Club and 1.1 for River Plate. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Club 36%, draw 26%, River Plate 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: River Plate to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Racing Club 1–1 River Plate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Club36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.94
River Plate38%fair 2.63 · @2.88
2.20Expected goals
1.08Racing Club xG
1.12River Plate xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Racing Club 1.1 – 1.1 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
38%
2.63
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.06
–
Form
Racing Club – last 6
WWWWDW
7 Apr
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs San Martin Formosa
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Belgrano Cordoba
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate – last 6
DWWDWL
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Huracan
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Banfield
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Club and River Plate.
What is the prediction for Racing Club vs River Plate?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Racing Club vs River Plate?
On our numbers Racing Club have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and River Plate 38%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Club vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Club vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Racing Club 1–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Racing Club vs River Plate?
Racing Club vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Perón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensa Y Justicia1
Talleres Cordoba2
Lanus1